Archive for September 2008

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Does Paulson’s TARP = TRAP?

Does Paulson’s TARP = TRAP?

For the second day in a row, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and US Treasury Secretary Paulson pleaded to the power players of Washington to pass their request for $700 Billion to implement their Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). However if we move the letters around a bit, TARP becomes TRAP and that is [...]

Capitalism DOA?

 
Markets have soared late this week on the news that Superman (aka Henry Paulson) will once again fly into the heat of battle and snatch victory from the jaws of sure defeat. According to Paulson, the federal government is busily crafting a taxpayer funded scheme to absorb all of the bad mortgage debt and make [...]

Resolution Trust Corp: What is it and Will it Help the Markets?

Resolution Trust Corp:  What is it and Will it Help the Markets?

Over the past few days, the markets have shrugged off the government’s bailout of AIG and a flush of liquidity from central banks around the world. No matter what the Federal Reserve or the US Treasury tried to do, they failed to please the markets. However in the last few hours of trading [...]

Lehman’s Latest Developments Spell Trouble for Carry Trades and US Dollar

Lehman’s Latest Developments Spell Trouble for Carry Trades and US Dollar

The US dollar dropped like a rock at the open of the Asian trading session on Sunday. It has been a long weekend for US government officials and the leaders of Wall Street Banks. Bank of America and Barclays pulled out talks to buy Lehman Brothers as the government refused to provide sufficient funding. [...]

Recent Mergers and Acquisitions Status Report

Recent Mergers and Acquisitions Status Report

$ Greenfield Online, Inc (SRVY) - Microsoft Corp (MSFT)
September 12, 2008 (10:40a) - Tender Offer Statement Filed
MSFT filed the initial tender offer statement and offer to purchase for this transaction with the SEC on September 11, 2008.
The current tender offer expiration date is Wednesday, October 8, 2008.
The regulatory matters section of the statement notes the [...]

Euro Breaks 1.40 After New Zealand Rate Cut

EURO BREAKS 1.40 HOW MUCH FURTHER CAN IT FALL?
The Euro broke 1.40 following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision as traders realized that the European Central Bank could cut interest rates over the next few months. Despite the hawkishness of ECB President Trichet, it should just be a matter of time [...]

When Does the Euro and British Pound Become Value Plays?

Since the middle of July, a little less than 2 months ago, the Euro has lost approximately 1900 pips or close to 12 percent of its value against the US dollar. As the currency continues to slide and comes within a whisker of our 1.40 target, the next question on everyone’s mind is when [...]

How Does the Fannie / Freddie Announcement Impact the FX Market?

How Does the Fannie / Freddie Announcement Impact the FX Market?

This weekend, the US government announced that they have seized control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, also known as the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs). The sharp rally in the Asian and European stock markets as well as the move in Dow futures suggest that we will see similar strength in US stocks. [...]

A Sobering Dose of Reality

A Sobering Dose of Reality

In the 1980’s, the Ford Motor Company used the slogan “Quality is Job #1”. This was helpful in their campaign to compete with their Japanese counterparts who were perceived to have higher quality automobiles. It would seem, based on recent trends in the employment market that government is now Job #1. This morning’s employment situation [...]

Non-farm Payrolls Falls -84K, Unemployment Rate Hits 5 Year High, Revisions Are Ugly!

Non-farm Payrolls Falls -84K, Unemployment Rate Hits 5 Year High, Revisions Are Ugly!

There is no question that the US labor market is deteriorating. Non-farm payrolls fell by -84k last month, driving the unemployment rate to a 5 yeer high of 6.1 percent. However what made FX traders really sell the dollar was the jump in the unemployment rate and the revisions. The US government [...]